Forum Message

Topic: Re:Re:Re:Reply
Posted by: Jonathan Callaway
Date/Time: 11/05/26 23:09:00

Re costs of Brexit let me help you:

https://www.thelondoneconomic.com/politics/the-telegraph-brexit-disaster-support-400796/

Jeremy Warner, always pro-Brexit in the very pro-Brexit Telegraph, wrote an opinion piece last November bemoaning the economic outcome of Brexit.

The London Economic describes his piece in The Telegraph as "inspired by a nine-year study conducted by the National Bureau for Economic Research (NBER). Their data assessed the overall economic impact of Brexit, from the day of the referendum and into this calendar year. The figures were gruesome.

As per the NBER, the UK’s GDP (Gross Domestic Product) had fallen by as much as 8% from where it should be since 2016, with the impact ‘accumulating gradually’ as the years have gone by. Investment into the country is also estimated to have dropped sharply, by roughly 12-18%." (the full report is behind a paywall so we only have Warner's piece to go on)

Of course, all these are estimates of what might have been.  Other estimates are available but there seem to be fewer and fewer people who believe we have gained economically from Brexit.  Big business has suffered.  Small and medium-sized exporters have suffered even more, especially those in the foodstuffs sector.  The full list is very long indeed.

On the effect on immigration this is worth a read: https://ukandeu.ac.uk/the-impact-of-brexit-on-immigration-to-the-uk/

On stopping illegal immigration, the end of the Dublin Agreement has made it impossible to automatically return illegal immigrants crossing from the EU.  See https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-9031/

I think comparing independence, freedom to make our own laws and sovereignty as we see them here to how Ukraine sees it is quite wrong.  They actually want to join the EU to preserve their freedoms which their illegal invaders are trying to destroy.

I don't see the problem of allowing freedom of movement to, say, the under-30s. What dangers will that entail?  The referendum itself was a simple yes/no question, it never asked what sort of exit we wanted and of course many Brexiteers wanted different things.  Even Farage talked up a Norway solution and saw no reason why we couldn't leave the EU but remain in the single market.  The hard Brexit we got courtesy Johnson was never an option put to the people in that referendum, so allowing some limited return of freedom of movement is hardly going to cause a constitutional crisis at this stage.


Entire Thread
TopicDate PostedPosted By
Reform - really not racist ...10/05/26 15:58:00 Michael Ixer
   Re:Reform - really not racist ...10/05/26 16:44:00 Ivonne Holliday
      Reply10/05/26 17:59:00 Sue Hammond
         Re:Reply10/05/26 18:23:00 Robert Wheeler
            Re:Re:Reply10/05/26 18:37:00 Ivonne Holliday
               Re:Re:Re:Reply10/05/26 19:00:00 Steven Rose
                  Reply10/05/26 20:10:00 Michael Ixer
                     Re:Reply10/05/26 21:11:00 Sue Hammond
                        Reply10/05/26 21:23:00 Michael Ixer
                  Re:Re:Re:Re:Reply11/05/26 10:19:00 Ivonne Holliday
            Reply11/05/26 00:38:00 Michael Ixer
               Re:Reply11/05/26 11:59:00 John Hawkes
                  Reply11/05/26 13:12:00 Michael Ixer
                     Re:Reply11/05/26 16:10:00 John Hawkes
   Reply11/05/26 10:37:00 Michael Ixer
      Re:Reply11/05/26 12:14:00 John Hawkes
   Re:Reform - really not racist ...11/05/26 11:53:00 John Hawkes
      Reply11/05/26 12:44:00 Michael Ixer
         Re:Reply11/05/26 13:40:00 Steven Rose
         Re:Reply11/05/26 16:58:00 John Hawkes
            Reply11/05/26 19:59:00 Michael Ixer
         Reply11/05/26 17:57:00 Sue Hammond
            Re:Reply11/05/26 18:13:00 Lucille Grant
               Reply11/05/26 20:09:00 Michael Ixer
                  Reply11/05/26 20:30:00 Michael Ixer
            Reply11/05/26 18:20:00 Michael Ixer
               Re:Reply11/05/26 19:37:00 Jonathan Callaway
                  Re:Re:Reply11/05/26 21:46:00 Steven Rose
                     Re:Re:Re:Reply11/05/26 23:09:00 Jonathan Callaway
                        Re:Re:Re:Re:Reply12/05/26 07:13:00 Robert Wheeler
                           Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Reply12/05/26 08:05:00 Jonathan Callaway
                              Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Reply12/05/26 08:57:00 Robert Wheeler
                                 Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Reply12/05/26 09:31:00 Ivonne Holliday
                                    Reply12/05/26 10:01:00 Martine Guy
                                       Re:Reply12/05/26 10:53:00 Ivonne Holliday
                                 Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Reply12/05/26 09:34:00 Steven Rose
                                    Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Reply12/05/26 09:48:00 Ivonne Holliday
                                       Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Reply12/05/26 10:44:00 Steven Rose

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