Looks like the local borough elections will be one of the most interesting in London. I'd be interested to hear people's thoughts not on who they think should win but who they think will win. My own view is that the projections underestimate the share of the vote Reform will get but that ironically that will help Labour retain power. The reasoning is that the campaign Reform is running is simple but effective - their election material is generic, doesn't mention any local issues and their candidates are generally previously uninvolved in  the community. The proposition they offer is very simple - immigrants and Net Zero bad and let's come out of the ECHR. What has surprised me is how many friends who would previously have probably been seen as One Nation Tories are now leaning towards Reform. They know enough about the real world to know that leaving the ECHR is a bad idea but now that that is a Tory policy too - their choices are reduced. A large proportion of the electorate don't look at ward projections, are too busy to be that engaged with local politics and will cast their vote to make a statement about who should be in charge in Westminster. My impression is that the Conservatives in Wandsworth will be hurt most by this phenomenon.

Entire Thread

Topic	Date Posted	Posted By
Who will win in Wandsworth?	17/04/26 13:11:00	Peter Higgins
Reply	17/04/26 15:39:00	Michael Ixer
Re:Reply	17/04/26 15:50:00	Ivonne Holliday
Re:Re:Reply	17/04/26 17:26:00	Andy Pike
Re:Re:Re:Reply	17/04/26 17:41:00	Jonathan Callaway
Re:Who will win in Southfields?	21/04/26 20:54:00	Jonathan Callaway
Re:Re:Who will win in Southfields?	22/04/26 10:06:00	Gabrielle OMahony
Reply	22/04/26 12:23:00	Nicholas Evans
Re:Who will win in Wandsworth?	22/04/26 13:46:00	Jonathan Callaway

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